我们预计，今年和明年全球增速将稳定保持在3.3%的水平，与疫情前大幅放缓的潜在增速大体一致。通胀正在下行，今明两年将分别下降至4.2%和3.5%，逐步回落至央行的目标水平，为货币政策进一步回归常态创造条件。这将有助于结束近年来包括新冠疫情、俄乌战争等 ...

预计2025年和2026年全球经济增速均为3.3%，与2024年10月《世界经济展望》的预测基本持平。其中，美国的预期增速被上调，这抵消了其他地区增速的下调。近期前景的特点在于各国的路径出现分化，而中期的增长风险偏向下行。通胀压力的重新抬头可能阻碍货 ...

This paper examines the potential impact of border carbon adjustments on Trinidad and Tobago’s exports. Despite its marginal contribution to global greenhouse gas emissions, the country’s high carbon ...

We study the two-way relationship between fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) and monetary policy in a panel of up to 35 countries over the last two decades. The dataset includes quarterly information on the ...

Recent developments. Haiti is facing exceptionally challenging circumstances. The deteriorating security environment, which reached crisis proportions in the first few months of 2024, has continued to ...

This paper investigates the global economic spillovers emanating from G20 emerging markets (G20-EMs), with a particular emphasis on the comparative influence of China. Employing a Bayesian Global ...

Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent both in 2025 and 2026, broadly unchanged from the October 2024 World Economic ...

These representative exchange rates, which are reported to the Fund by the issuing central bank, are expressed in terms of currency units per U.S. dollar, except for those indicated by (1) which are ...

The archipelago is taking bold steps to transform its electricity sector and build resilience to climate change.

The ongoing regional conflict has deepened Yemen’s already acute humanitarian and economic conditions, leading to further contractions in GDP and rising inflation.